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It has been announced that the Police Commissioner has been chosen to head the Finance Minister Nicola Willis' Social Investment Agency when he steps down in November. An NZ Treasury lecture defines social investment as, "The use of actuarial techniques to calculate a measure of future fiscal liability - which is then used for evaluation of “success” and policy purposes. The techniques require the use of large longitudinal datasets to prioritize policy and actions, to help choose who to focus case management on, and which interventions to use". Yes, it's a no-brainer. That leadership position must be widely advertised to attract the person, either local or overseas, with the highly sophisticated maths & statistical skill set to know how to do such calculations, or at least be able to advise on how they are to be done. The chap with a similar job in the US is called Richard Revesz who's at the White House Office overseeing cost-benefit calculations. He has a Masters in Civil Engineering from MIT, and then did a Doctor of Jurisprudence at Yale. There's no way a lay-person can head a Social Investment Agency without high-level maths & statistics skills, given the nature of that specific method of evaluating projects. So why did Police Minister, Mark Mitchell, say "The Social Investment Agency's got a big role to play & I think Andy Coster, when you look at his background & experience, he's the perfect fit for the role" when Commissioner Coster does not have the background, nor experience? Mitchell is a politician. Say no more. If Finance Minister Willis & Mitchell think they're smart playing the political appointment game in Wellington, then those of us with the background & experience to execute these kinds of "social investment" style approaches are over it. We've already worked out our response.


Here's what "my group" of economists, actuaries, statisticians, computer scientists and mathematicians are doing. We've had a gutsful of the top jobs in Wellington going to people who are well connected yet don't have maths skills. So we no longer have an interest in applying to the lower-down technical positions that prop those folks up. Our students are not being recommended to apply to them. We're no longer going to be the slaves in the engine room who do the difficult work so Wellington bosses who don't know what we've done can take credit for our work. We're telling our students to go overseas, to Sydney, Silicon Valley, London and New York, to take up more highly valued jobs, both in terms of status & money, rather than go to Wellington to be the poor little girl, or boy, who has studied like a dog only to be patronized by the likes of Nicola Willis, Mark Mitchell, and the non-qualified bosses they've appointed. We're no longer going to be thrown into the engine room of the Titanic whilst the captain who's chatting to guests steers the ship into an iceberg. Willis & Mitchell just hastened the brain drain making this appointment. When they advertise for a (non) senior management team low grade Tier 3-style economist, actuary, comp. scientist, or maths person at "Social Investment" to do the hard yards, as they're doing at Seymour's Ministry of Regulation, we're telling our talented graduates, "Don't apply". The world's a different place now. The techs call the shots. Only not in NZ.


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The evidence is out. Stats NZ today released survey data measuring Trust in NZ's key institutions. The previous Labour government ended its time in office in 2023 achieving all-time record lows for trust in our education system, parliament, health-care system, our courts, police and media. These numbers are beyond embarrassing for Labour since in 2018, when former PM Jacinda Ardern had just come to power after nine years of the Key-led National Party government, many of those numbers were at all-time highs. For a Labour government to collapse faith in practically all of our country's social welfare and education services is beyond belief.


How did Ardern and Chris Hipkins pull off this feat? Its easy to explain. On the police, they turned them into the bad guys and criminals into the good guys. On Parliament, Hipkins doesn't even believe it has sovereign powers - so the Labour Leader doesn't trust Parliament himself. On the media, it got into bed with Ardern & Hipkins and became their instrument of propaganda during Covid and beyond, to the extent no-one trusts the Main Stream Media anymore. As for health-care, they bust the NZ health system by underfunding it in the middle of the biggest health-crisis the country has ever seen, being the pandemic, blew out its bureaucracy and embarked on the failed NZ Health centralization reform. As for the courts, Labour appointed judges not on the basis of meritocracy, but on their political beliefs, to the extent few people believe we have an independent judiciary anymore. On education, they dumped so much politics into the curriculum, that its hard for school children to graduate these days without having been brain-washed into believing the only parties that can save NZ, and the planet, are Labour & Greens. Yes, the explanations for Kiwis' busted trust in "the system" are easy.




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