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My accounting has become a bit rusty, so readers in the profession can judge this Blog for themselves. The Chair of ANZ Bank (who used to be Chancellor of Auckland University!?) and its CEO told a Parliamentary Select Committee into Banking Competition yesterday that its $2 billion annual profits were "fair". CEO Watson told MPs the bank's shareholders had invested $17 billion into ANZ which meant it was probably NZ's "biggest importer of overseas capital .. In return for that $17 billion investment from our shareholders, we make just over $2 billion in net profit after tax each year .. That's a 12 per cent return on equity, which is middle of the road for most publicly listed companies in NZ".


Now take a look at ANZ's accounts for year ended March 2023 (downloadable below). They report profits of over $2 billion, "share capital" of $12 billion and "retained earnings" of $5 billion, giving total shareholder "equity" of $17 billion - which is the number CEO Watson appears to refer to. In other words, there never was $17 billion worth of funds that NZ has benefited from in the sense of it being "imported from overseas" from foreign shareholders. Instead $5 billion of that $17 billion are profits extracted from Kiwis, primarily from interest on their household mortgages. In my view, the CEO's claim that its "shareholders" are only getting a 12% return (being $2 billion / $17 billion) is misleading. The original size of their investment is closer to $12 billion, so the return on that investment is far higher.


Here's a simple example. Say you invest $1 million in a company that has monopoly powers. You make a whopping 25% return on your investment, being $250,000 per year. You retain all of those earnings in the company. After four years your balance sheet reads "share capital $1 million" and "retained earnings" of $1 million (being four years of earning profits of $250,000). That is, in only four years, your $1 million investment is now worth $2 million on the back of your monopoly powers. You get investigated by a Select Committee of MPs looking into competition in your industry. You tell them that you're making a "fair" return on your business - that you've invested $2 million in the business and are only making $250,000 a year, being a 12% return, which barely compensates for the risk. But that's not true. You're making a 25% annual return on your initial investment of $1 million.


ANZ bank is majority owned by Americans. Its giving them a high yield, probably because of less competition in NZ. The Americans never did invest $17 billion here. Much of that so-called "equity" comes from retained (oligopoly) profits made out of local Kiwis. I stand to be corrected & apologize for mistakes in my accounting. Should I not be mistaken, maybe its the CEO of ANZ who should apologize to the Kiwi public & MPs for what, in my opinion, may amount to playing with statistics and numbers to create confusion.


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An almighty row has broken out in the United States as Donald Trump's campaign has filed a Federal Election Commission (FEC) complaint against the UK's Labour Party, accusing it of "blatant foreign interference" in the US election in aid of the Harris Democrat campaign. The complaint cites media reports about contact between Labour and the Harris campaign as well as apparent volunteering efforts, arguing that this amounts to illegal "contributions".


Its a sensitive topic in America, since there have been allegations about foreign interference in their elections levelled before at the likes of Russia and China. So lets add New Zealand to the mix. Why did our former Prime Minister Ardern attend the Democratic National Convention in Chicago earlier this year? The reason is quite obvious, it would seem. Kamala Harris and Ms Ardern have a lot in common . Both were parachuted in to fight a national election just a few months beforehand, to replace more elderly men who were doing terribly in the polls. In Kamala's case it was Joe Biden; in Ardern's case it was former Labour Leader Andrew Little. So Ardern, with little doubt, was there to give advice, probably at the highest level, to help the Democratics pull off an election victory in much the same way Ardern did in 2017. She told a meeting there that people wanted a new kind of politics. "I do think if you look around the world there is a call from voters to see that positivity from politicians to try & reduce that sense of division. That's one of the reasons I started the Field Fellowship." What's the "Field Fellowship"? Its "a program that uplifts empathetic leadership & provides a global network of support to progressive leaders".


The BBC says, "Foreign nationals are permitted to serve as campaign volunteers as long as they're not compensated, according to Federal Election Commission rules". The precise wording is, "Federal law prohibits contributions, donations, expenditures (including independent expenditures) and disbursements solicited, directed, received or made directly or indirectly by or from foreign nationals in connection with any federal, state or local election". Ardern spoke at The Global Progress Action Luncheon, organized by the Center for American Progress Action Fund. It was a side event, held in a hotel conference room and titled “Healing the Nation - Purposeful Policies for the Next Administration”. However the moderator was Patrick Gaspard, a prominent Democratic strategist. OneNews NZ reported that "she spent much of the rest of the day meeting other Democrat heavyweights like Michigan Governor Gretchin Whitmer, and is expected to attend an event hosted by JB Pritzker the Governor of Illinois, the state where this convention is being held. She will be also attending the convention arena itself tonight".


So she wasn't only attending "fringe events". She attended the full Convention in the Main Arena itself and appears to have met with top Democratic Brass guiding Karmala Harris' campaign. Did it breach US Federal Election Commission rules? The trip was expensive. Who paid her bills? It calls for an investigation.


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